BANK NIFTY

 

1. 
   
   Recent Swing: 54467 - 46077:
   • This refers to a significant price movement in Bank Nifty, from a high of 54467 to a low of 46077. This swing can be used to calculate Fibonacci retracement levels.

2. Retracement Levels at 78.6% = 47872:

   • You have identified the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level at 47872, which is a critical level for potential support or resistance. The 78.6% level is often considered a strong area of interest for price reversals.

3. Actual Low at 47898 with Positive Divergence:

   • The actual low was slightly above the 78.6% level (47898). The positive divergence means that while the price made a new low, a technical indicator (like RSI or MACD) made a higher low, suggesting weakening downward momentum and a potential reversal.

4. Sustained Above 78.6% for the Past 4 Days:

   • The price has been consistently staying above the 78.6% level (47872) for the last 4 days. This is a bullish sign, as the market has held above a key Fibonacci level, indicating potential strength.

5. Made a High of 49459 and Closed Below 61.8% (49282) at 49278:

   • The price reached a high of 49459 but closed below the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level (49282) at 49278, which suggests some weakness or selling pressure at this level. The 61.8% retracement is often seen as a key resistance zone in a corrective move, so the close below it may indicate difficulty in moving higher.

Analysis:

• The positive divergence at the low near 47898 and the price sustaining above the 78.6% retracement level for 4 days is a strong indication of potential support and a reversal.
• However, the recent high at 49459 and the subsequent close just below the 61.8% retracement level (49282) signals that the market is encountering resistance. This suggests that while there is bullish potential, there is still some selling pressure or uncertainty at higher levels.

Key Levels to Watch:

• Support: The 78.6% retracement level at 47872, which has held for the past 4 days.
• Resistance: The 61.8% retracement level at 49282, with the recent close of 49278 just below this level.

NIFTY CHART

 It seems like you meant "positive divergence from 25/10/2025", but the date appears to be in the future. You might have meant 25/10/2023 or another past date. Assuming you meant a previous date, here's what positive divergence typically refers to in technical analysis:

• Positive Divergence occurs when the price of an asset is making lower lows (a downtrend), but an indicator (like the RSI, MACD, or stochastic) is making higher lows. This suggests that although the price is dropping, the momentum behind the price movement is weakening, and a potential reversal or trend change could be on the horizon.
• 
  

Swing 26277-21281: This could refer to a price range or a historical movement of a particular financial instrument.

Support at 61.8% at 23189: This indicates a Fibonacci retracement level where there is expected support or resistance based on Fibonacci ratios. In this case, 23189 is identified as a key support level at 61.8% retracement from some previous move.

Sustained above this level for the past 2 days: The price has been trading above 23189 for the last two trading days.

Consecutive 3 close is good for +ve: If the price closes above 23189 for three consecutive days, it is seen as a positive sign, potentially indicating further upward movement.

Nifty CHART

 Based on the provided analysis of Nifty:

1. Price Action & Range:

   • Nifty has been holding above the 23,575-23,600 level for the last three days, showing resilience at these support levels.
   • The lows of the last three days (Jan 6, Jan 7, and Jan 8) are progressively higher, with each day’s close showing a positive movement compared to the previous day.

2. Momentum:

   • The momentum is indicated to be negative in the short term (which could imply some corrective pressure or lack of strong buying interest), but the trend remains positive. This suggests that the overall market bias is still upward, but there may be some consolidation or volatility in the near term.
   • The RSI (14) being in a positive crossover with the short-term EMA (5 and 8) points towards potential bullishness in the short term, even though the overall momentum is negative.

3. Resistance Levels:

   • The major resistance levels for Nifty are marked at 23,871, 23,974, and 24,070-24,414. These are areas where price could face challenges to move higher, and they could signal short-term pullbacks or reversals.

4. Fibonacci & Volatility:

   • The latest swing from 23,263 to 24,857 has a key Fibonacci retracement level at 23,604 (78.6%), which is close to the recent low points of 23,551, 23,637, and 23,496. These levels may act as crucial support zones.
   • Volatility is low around these levels, but any break below 23,600 could potentially lead to higher volatility, especially if the support zones fail to hold.

5. Expectations:

   • There is an expectation of low volatility unless a significant break occurs in the support levels or the price moves toward the resistance levels.
   • Based on the analysis, fast moves in either direction are not expected due to the balance between negative momentum and the positive trend. The market is likely to remain in a consolidation phase unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.

Summary:

• Nifty is in a consolidation range with good support above 23,600 and resistance around 23,871–24,414.
• The short-term momentum is negative, but the overall trend is positive, indicating possible volatility with no rapid moves expected.
• The market is expected to remain within a defined range unless a clear directional break occurs above resistance or below support.

NIFTY CHART

 It seems you're outlining a detailed technical analysis of an asset's recent price movement. Let me break it down further for clarity:

1. Last Swing 23263-24857: This indicates a recent price range for the asset, moving between 23,263 and 24,857. This price range could represent a swing low (23,263) and a swing high (24,857), showing a significant move.

2. Positive Divergence: Positive divergence occurs when the price of the asset is making lower lows, but an indicator (such as the RSI, MACD, or other momentum indicators) is making higher lows. This suggests weakening downward momentum and potential for an upward reversal.

3. Sentimentally Strong Bounce with Volume: The price saw a strong upward movement (bounce) yesterday, supported by high trading volume. The increased volume reinforces the idea that the bounce has solid backing from market participants, increasing the likelihood of it being sustainable.

4. Small Resistance at 23871: This indicates that the price might encounter resistance around 23,871, which could be a level where selling pressure could emerge. If the price approaches this level, there might be hesitation or reversal unless it breaks through with momentum.

5. Target Zone 24039-24060+: After overcoming the small resistance at 23,871, the price could aim to reach higher resistance zones around 24,039 to 24,060, potentially even beyond that. These levels are viewed as the next key resistance zones. If the price moves past this range, it could signal further bullish momentum.

Summary: The asset recently experienced a price swing between 23,263 and 24,857, with positive divergence suggesting a potential bullish reversal. After a strong bounce yesterday, there is a small resistance level at 23,871, but if the price breaks through, it could target the next resistance levels around 24,039-24,060 or higher. The volume from yesterday's bounce adds strength to the bullish sentiment, increasing the likelihood of the price moving higher in the short term.