Nifty CHART
Based on the provided analysis of Nifty:
Price Action & Range:
- Nifty has been holding above the 23,575-23,600 level for the last three days, showing resilience at these support levels.
- The lows of the last three days (Jan 6, Jan 7, and Jan 8) are progressively higher, with each day’s close showing a positive movement compared to the previous day.
Momentum:
- The momentum is indicated to be negative in the short term (which could imply some corrective pressure or lack of strong buying interest), but the trend remains positive. This suggests that the overall market bias is still upward, but there may be some consolidation or volatility in the near term.
- The RSI (14) being in a positive crossover with the short-term EMA (5 and 8) points towards potential bullishness in the short term, even though the overall momentum is negative.
Resistance Levels:
- The major resistance levels for Nifty are marked at 23,871, 23,974, and 24,070-24,414. These are areas where price could face challenges to move higher, and they could signal short-term pullbacks or reversals.
Fibonacci & Volatility:
- The latest swing from 23,263 to 24,857 has a key Fibonacci retracement level at 23,604 (78.6%), which is close to the recent low points of 23,551, 23,637, and 23,496. These levels may act as crucial support zones.
- Volatility is low around these levels, but any break below 23,600 could potentially lead to higher volatility, especially if the support zones fail to hold.
Expectations:
- There is an expectation of low volatility unless a significant break occurs in the support levels or the price moves toward the resistance levels.
- Based on the analysis, fast moves in either direction are not expected due to the balance between negative momentum and the positive trend. The market is likely to remain in a consolidation phase unless there is a clear breakout or breakdown.
Summary:
- Nifty is in a consolidation range with good support above 23,600 and resistance around 23,871–24,414.
- The short-term momentum is negative, but the overall trend is positive, indicating possible volatility with no rapid moves expected.
- The market is expected to remain within a defined range unless a clear directional break occurs above resistance or below support.